16 – 20 February 2026

DOWNLOAD AS PDF >>

Weekly Trade Commentary

  • Last week saw 4 stocks traded on the local market with a total trading value of K1,637,734.05.
  • BSP traded 43,073 shares high by 5t at K25.05.
  • KSL traded 137,604 shares steady at K3.85.
  • STO only traded 753 shares steady also at K20.00.
  • Lastly NEM, traded 27 PDIs (PETS Depository Interests) down by K10.00 closing at K480.00.
    * 1 PDI = 1 Fully paid Ordinary Share (FPO)

 

 

WEEKLY MARKET REPORT | 16 February, 2026 – 20 February, 2026

 

STOCK WEEKLY VOLUME
CLOSING PRICE VALUE BID OFFER CHANGE % CHANGE
BSP 43,073 25.05 1,078,978.65 25.05 0.05 0.20%
 KSL 137,604 3.85 529,775.40
STO 753 20.00 15,060.00 20.00
NEM 29 480.00 13,920.00 500.00 590.00 (10.00) (2.04%)
KAM 1.96 1.98
NGP 1.35
CCP 4.66 53,671.98 4.66
CPL 0.64 0.64
SST 50.00 50.00
  181,459 TOTAL 1,637,734.05       (1.74%)

 

JMP WEEKLY REPORT DTD 23.02.26

Key takeaways:

 

WEEKLY YIELD CHART | 16 February, 2026 – 20 February, 2026

STOCK NUMBER ISSUED OF SHARES
MARKET CAP
2023
INTERIM DIV
2023
FINAL DIV
2024
INTERIM DIV
2024
FINAL DIV
2025
INTERIM DIV
2026
FINAL DIV
YIELD % LTM
BSP 467,317,665 11,706,307,508 K0.370 K1.060 K1.210 K1.210 K0.500 K1.380 7.50%
 KSL 292,965,754 1,127,918,153 K0.100 K0.160 K0.106 K1.155 K0.126 7.30%
STO 3,261,616,703 65,232,334,060 K0.310 K0.660 k0.506 K0.414 K0.559 (USD) $0.103 4.87%
NEM* 1,097,000,000 537,530,000,000 K2.110 K2.110 (USD) $0.26 0.88%
KAM 53,259,588 104,388,792 K0.120 K0.250 12.76%
NGP 45,890,700 61,952,445 K0.030 K0.120 K0.120 K0.040 11.85%
CCP 307,931,332 1,434,960,007 K0.110 K0.130 K0.121 K0.121 K0.121 5.19%
CPL 206,277,911 132,017,863 K0.050 K0.050 7.81%
SST 31,008,237 1,550,411,850 K0.350 K0.600 K0.300 K0.300 K0.400 1.40%
  TOTAL 607,910,290,679             6.02%

a LTM = Last Twelve Months. We have calculated yields based on most recently declared
interim and final dividends.
* NEM pays quarterly dividends. We have added last 4 payments at current FX rates.

Dividend yield – is calculated by dividing a company’s annual dividends per share by its current share price and expressing the result as a percentage.


BPNG

Domestic Markets Department – Money Markets Operations Unit

Auction Number:          18 FEB-26 / GOI / Government Treasury Bill

Settlement Date:         20-FEB-26

Amount on Offer: K270.000 million

 

TERMS

ISSUE ID
2025 / 63

ISSUE ID
2025 / 91

ISSUE ID
2025 / 4741 182

ISSUE ID
2025 /4700 273

ISSUE ID
2025 / 4743
364

TOTAL

Weighted Average Yield

0.000

0.00%

5.19%

5.30%

5.58%

 

Amount on offer Kina Million

0.000

0.000

20.000

50.00

200.000

270.000

Bids Received Kina Million

0.00

0.000

52.270

73.240

524.970

650.480

Successful Bids Kina Million

0.00

0.000

31.870

73.240

174.970

280.080

Overall Auction OVER-SUBSCRIBED by

0.00

0.000

32.270

23.240

324.970

280.480

 

BPNG

Domestic Markets Department – Money Markets Operations Unit

Auction Number:          17-FEB-26 / GOB / Government Bond

Settlement Date:         20-FEB-26

Amount on Offer: K380.000 million

 

SERIES

Amount on Offer (K’million)

Bids
Received (K’million)

Successful
Bids
(K’million)

Successful
Bids
Yield

Weighted Average Rate
(WAR)

Coupon Rate

Overall
Auction
Net Subscription

Issue ID 2026/5057 (3 years)

60.000

118.000

58.000

6.30%-6.38%

6.37%

5.75%

K58.000

Issue ID 2026/5058 (5 years)

90.000

210.000

110.000

6.50%-6.83%

6.72%

6.00%

K120.000

Issue ID 2026/5059 (7 years)

70.000

148.000

78.000

6.70%-6.80%

6.76%

6.25%

K78.00

Issue ID 2026/5060 (10 years)

100.000

195.80

95.80

6.00%-7.06%

7.05%

6.50%

K95.80

Issue ID 2026/5061 (15 years)

60.000

122.000

52.00

7.46%-7.46%

7.46%

6.75%

K62.00

TOTAL

 

380.00

793.800

393.000

 

 

 

K413.800

 

 


 

 

What we have been reading

Stock-Bond Diversification Offers Less Protection From Market Selloffs

IMF
Tobias Adrian, Johannes Kramer, Sheheryar Malik
Feb 18, 2026

Diversification has become harder since 2020 as stocks and bonds tend to move in tandem during sharp selloffs, adding to financial stability concerns

Spreading investments across asset classes can reduce risk and smooth returns. The classic diversification between stocks and bonds worked historically because they moved in opposite directions. When stocks fell, investors sought safety in bonds. Bonds rallied, cushioning losses and stabilizing portfolios.
Since the start of the pandemic period—with supply shocks that fueled inflation—bonds have become less effective in cushioning volatility in stocks. Instead of offsetting equity risk, bonds are increasingly moving in tandem with stocks. This shift is particularly pronounced during sharp market selloffs, with profound implications for investors and policymakers alike.

 

The breakdown of this historical relationship makes diversification—such as the classic portfolio, of 60 percent stocks and 40 percent bonds, or risk parity strategies—vulnerable to shocks. Hedge fund and risk parity investment strategies that employ leverage based on the historical relationship are now increasingly moving in tandem with Treasury returns, which could make them vulnerable to forced deleveraging. Even conservative institutional investors like pension funds and insurers could be exposed to greater portfolio volatility during market corrections.


Corrections tend to be sharp, accompanied by a surge in stock market volatility. This amplifies systemic vulnerabilities as volatility can feed into selloff dynamics by worsening investors’ funding constraints and forcing deleveraging.

 

Looking back, our analysis shows that the turning point for correlations came around the end of 2019. With the onset of the pandemic the following year, the historical relationship changed significantly, resulting in sharp selloffs of both stocks and bonds to occur more frequently together.

From 2000 to 2019, the inverse relationship between expected stock and bond returns helped investors effectively manage risk. Tracing standardized expected returns for stocks and bonds against the VIX shows a clear divergence: As volatility rises, expected returns for equities increase as stock prices fall, while expected returns for bonds decline as bond prices rise. This was the foundation of diversification strategies.

The changed relationship since 2020—with both asset classes tending to sell off concurrently in response to rising market stress—reinforces equity risk in the United States as well as, to varying degrees, Germany, Japan, and the United Kingdom.

This breakdown may explain the severity of recent market selloffs: losses compound when both assets fall together.

The diminished hedging properties are increasingly evident in the sharp rallies in gold, silver, platinum and palladium, as well as currencies such as the Swiss franc. Gold, for example, has more than doubled since the start of 2024 as investors sought alternative safe havens in recent months. Platinum and palladium jumped in the final quarter of last year, reflecting diversification shifting toward non-sovereign stores of value.

 
Diminished protection
Amid the hedging breakdown, higher volatility coincides with higher expected bond returns, with prices declining steeply in the current period as investors reprice term premiums. Over the past few years, expanding bond supply to finance widening fiscal deficits across most advanced economies, which we also explored in the October 2025 Global Financial Stability Report, has heightened investor concerns. At the same time, gross issuance of bonds has outpaced central bank balance-sheet runoff, that is, bonds maturing without reinvestment. With central banks reducing holdings via runoff, a larger share of bond supply must be absorbed by price sensitive private investors. This gap has become more evident since late 2023 as central banks’ balance sheet runoff slowed while issuance stayed elevated. Overall, the supply absorbed is many times larger than the reduction in central bank holdings over the past few years in the four largest advanced economies. With inflation still above target in many economies, fiscal concerns increasingly raise term premiums as investors see bonds as riskier, eroding their suitability for hedging. Investors may demand higher compensation for holding longer maturities, reinforcing upward pressure on term premiums and further eroding hedges. With fiscal expansion expected to continue, this upward pressure may be reinforced if corporate capital investment is increasingly financed by debt issuance. These effects could be reduced by greater productivity growth, bringing down inflation and allowing government to issue bonds with shorter maturities.

Policy challenges
Central banks will undoubtedly intervene to stabilize bond markets during periods of extreme stress, but this has limits. Relying on emergency measures can lead to excessive risk-taking and undermine market discipline. A more durable solution, restoring the hedging properties of sovereign bonds, requires fiscal discipline. High debt levels globally and uncertain fiscal trajectories weaken the safe-haven status of government securities. Without credible fiscal frameworks, bonds cannot serve as reliable anchors in turbulent markets. Central banks also must commit to ensuring price stability. The unexpected rise of inflation since 2020 has been a key contributor to the reversal in stock-bond correlations. Regulators should also incorporate correlation breakdown scenarios into stress tests. Financial institutions need to prepare for traditional diversification to fail, as models calibrated on historical correlations may underestimate new risks.

Rethinking risk
With diminished diversification, investors must build portfolios that account for the shift in correlations. Alternative strategies—such as incorporating commodities or private assets—may offer partial solutions, but they come with their own complexities and risks.
Policymakers face even greater challenges. Maintaining financial stability amid high correlation risk requires credible fiscal and monetary policy frameworks, robust stress testing, and clear communication to anchor expectations. If diversification fails, volatility can cascade into broader financial instability. Investors and policymakers must rethink risk management for a new era where traditional hedges fail.
 
 


Regards,

JMP Securities Team

a. Level 3, ADF Haus, Musgrave St., Port Moresby NCD Papua New Guinea
p. PO Box 2064, Port Moresby NCD Papua New Guinea

Lars Mortensen

Managing Director

Email: lars.mortensen@jmpmarkets.com
Ph: +675 7200 2233
Mobile: +675 7056 5124

Nathan Chang

Head of Equity Capital Markets

Email: nathan.chang@jmpmarkets.com
Ph: +675 7167 3223
Mobile: +61 422 113 630

Leave a Reply